MACAU VISA RESTRICTIONS MAY GET TIGHTER
July 15, 2008
Starting Sept. 1, Chinese citizens may
no longer be permitted to visit Macau through trips to Hong
Kong using the same visa, according to a recent report.
Deutsche Bank analyst Karen Tang, citing
local press called Ming Pao, included the information in a recent report.
If implemented, this new restriction
would close a previous loophole which allowed Chinese citizens to visit Macau
more than once a month if they traveled through Hong Kong, according to Deutsche
Bank gaming analyst Bill Lerner, who cited the news in a note to investors
Tuesday.
The Chinese government already has
introduced two measures to slow growth of
Chinese visitors to Macau.
From June 1, Guangdong province started tightening visa
applications from twice a month to once a month. From July 1, the province
further tightened the rule to once every two months.
Last year, Guangdong also implemented a temporary visa
policy, restricting travel from twice to once a month. The restrictions had a
one-month impact on Chinese visitor growth, with growth from Mainland Chinese
visitors falling to 13 percent in June 2007 from a year-to-date 2007 trend of
19 percent. Growth quickly rebounded to from 24 to 33 percent higher from July
through December.
As for gaming revenue, after last year's
restriction, from June to December 2007 gaming revenue was up 46 percent, just
slightly below January through May, which was up 53 percent.
“If implemented, this measure will be
the third within a four-month period,” Lerner said in the investor note. “We
see this as the strong signal by the government to seriously control supernormal
growth in the Macau gaming industry [in which
revenue jumped plus 54 percent year over year in the first half of 2008].”
But Lerner noted that “since the initial
stage of restrictions started in June, there seems to have been little impact
on Macau’s gaming revenue growth, as least for
the first month.” June’s gaming revenue was up 70 percent year over year.
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